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| Criterion |  Product Discovery Dual-Track Agile |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Product Strategy DIBB |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When uncertainty and delivery run in parallel, it separates learning work from implementation while keeping both connected. It prevents unvalidated ideas from falling directly into the delivery stream. | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | Laufend, Wochen bis Monate | 15-45 min | 45-90 min | 1-2 h |
Participantsdifferent | 4-10 | 1-8 | 2-8 | 2-8 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Discovery Backlog, Delivery Backlog, Experiment-Ergebnisse, Validierte Stories | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | DIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report |
Tagsno overlap | AgileDiscoveryDelivery | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis |