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| Criterion |  Product Discovery Dual-Track Agile |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Business Strategy Business Model Stress Test |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When uncertainty and delivery run in parallel, it separates learning work from implementation while keeping both connected. It prevents unvalidated ideas from falling directly into the delivery stream. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | A Business Model Stress Test checks how well a business model holds up under pressure and headwinds. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a stress-test report and action plan per scenario. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | High | Low |
Timedifferent | Laufend, Wochen bis Monate | 1-4 Wochen | Half day | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 4-10 | 6-30 Experten | 3-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Discovery Backlog, Delivery Backlog, Experiment-Ergebnisse, Validierte Stories | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Stress Test Report, Action Plan per Scenario | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan |
Tagsno overlap | AgileDiscoveryDelivery | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | StrategyBusiness modelRiskDiagnosis | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery |