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| Criterion |  Innovation Double Diamond |  Business Strategy Three Horizons |  Systems Thinking VUCA Scan |  Decision Making Cynefin Workshop |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | For complex problems with a fuzzy situation, the method cleanly separates search space and decision. It first creates breadth in understanding and then focus in elaboration. This brings open questions, problem definition, and solution path into a traceable movement. | Three Horizons helps clarify strategic options across different timeframes. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and investment choices, and captures the result as a horizon map, portfolio view, and initiatives per horizon. | The VUCA Scan helps read difficult situations more precisely. Instead of treating unclarity as generally complicated, the method separates fast change, missing knowledge, systemic entanglement, and ambiguous interpretation. | When problems are unclear, chaotic, or only seemingly familiar, standard recipes fall short. A Cynefin Workshop sorts situations by the nature of their problem and connects them with matching action logic. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | Wochen bis Monate | Halbtags-Workshop, dann iterativ | 30-90 min | 60-180 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-12 | 3-12 | 1-10 | 4-20 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Problem Statement, Solution Options, Prototypes, Deliverables per Phase | Horizon map, Portfolio view, Initiatives per horizon, Resource plan | VUCA Map, Response Options, Signal and Learning Plan | Cynefin Map, Domain-specific Actions, Sensemaking Notes |
Tagsno overlap | ProcessDivergenceInnovation | StrategyInnovationPortfolioForesight | SensemakingUncertaintyComplexityStrategyForesight | ComplexitySensemakingDecision |