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Criterion
Paper illustration of Double Diamond with its method-specific working model.
Innovation
Double Diamond
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration for ALPEN Method
Operations
ALPEN Method
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Purposedifferent
For complex problems with a fuzzy situation, the method cleanly separates search space and decision. It first creates breadth in understanding and then focus in elaboration. This brings open questions, problem definition, and solution path into a traceable movement.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowLowLow
Timedifferent
Wochen bis Monate20–45 min10-20 min daily45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
3-12Small cross-functional group12-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Problem Statement, Solution Options, Prototypes, Deliverables per PhaseRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logDaily Plan, Time Estimates, Review NotesAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan
Tagsno overlap
ProcessDivergenceInnovation
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
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