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Criterion
Paper illustration of Double Diamond with its method-specific working model.
Innovation
Double Diamond
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Purposedifferent
For complex problems with a fuzzy situation, the method cleanly separates search space and decision. It first creates breadth in understanding and then focus in elaboration. This brings open questions, problem definition, and solution path into a traceable movement.DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report.The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowMediumHigh
Timedifferent
Wochen bis Monate1-2 h60-120 min1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
3-122-82-86-30 Experten
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopAsync
Outputdifferent
Problem Statement, Solution Options, Prototypes, Deliverables per PhaseDIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning reportConflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next ExperimentsExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
ProcessDivergenceInnovation
StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis
Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
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