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| Criterion |  Innovation Double Diamond |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Business Strategy Business Model Canvas |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | For complex problems with a fuzzy situation, the method cleanly separates search space and decision. It first creates breadth in understanding and then focus in elaboration. This brings open questions, problem definition, and solution path into a traceable movement. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | The Business Model Canvas condenses a business model to its key building blocks and assumptions. It makes variants quickly comparable and reveals gaps before validation or implementation begins. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | Wochen bis Monate | 1-4 Wochen | 45-90 min | 1-2 h |
Participantsdifferent | 3-12 | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Problem Statement, Solution Options, Prototypes, Deliverables per Phase | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Business Model Canvas, Assumption List, Business Hypotheses |
Tagsno overlap | ProcessDivergenceInnovation | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | Business modelStrategyValueInnovation |