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Criterion
Paper illustration of Double Diamond with its method-specific working model.
Innovation
Double Diamond
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Purposedifferent
For complex problems with a fuzzy situation, the method cleanly separates search space and decision. It first creates breadth in understanding and then focus in elaboration. This brings open questions, problem definition, and solution path into a traceable movement.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighMediumHigh
Timedifferent
Wochen bis Monate1-4 Wochen45-60 min1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
3-126-30 Experten2-81-6
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Problem Statement, Solution Options, Prototypes, Deliverables per PhaseExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summary
Tagsno overlap
ProcessDivergenceInnovation
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
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