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Criterion
Paper illustration of Double Diamond with its method-specific working model.
Innovation
Double Diamond
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Purposedifferent
For complex problems with a fuzzy situation, the method cleanly separates search space and decision. It first creates breadth in understanding and then focus in elaboration. This brings open questions, problem definition, and solution path into a traceable movement.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowLowLow
Timedifferent
Wochen bis Monate45-90 min20–45 min1-2 h
Participantsdifferent
3-122-8Small cross-functional group2-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Problem Statement, Solution Options, Prototypes, Deliverables per PhaseAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logDIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report
Tagsno overlap
ProcessDivergenceInnovation
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis
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