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Criterion
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Purposedifferent
DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report.A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumMediumHigh
Timedifferent
1-2 h10-30 min je Item45-60 min1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
2-81-82-86-30 Experten
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
DIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning reportThree-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
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