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Criterion
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Scenario Planning method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
Scenario Planning
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Purposedifferent
DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report.Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighLowLow
Timedifferent
1-2 h0.5-2 Tage45-90 min20–45 min
Participantsdifferent
2-84-122-8Small cross-functional group
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
DIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning reportScenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust OptionsAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log
Tagsno overlap
StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis
StrategyUncertaintyPlanning
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
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