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Criterion
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Purposedifferent
DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumHighMedium
Timedifferent
1-2 h45-60 min1-4 Wochen1-2 Wochen pro Iteration
Participantsdifferent
2-82-86-30 Experten2-6
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
DIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning reportAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesPrioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results Report
Tagsno overlap
StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions
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