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Criterion
Paper illustration for Diary Study.
UX Research
Diary Study
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Purposedifferent
When experiences build up over days or weeks and a single session cannot capture them, Diary Study records the course of everyday life. Recurring triggers, moods, and habits become visible this way, beyond the sharpness of memory.A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumHighHigh
Timedifferent
1-4 Wochen10-30 min je Item1-4 Wochen1-4 h or multiple rounds
Participantsdifferent
5-201-86-30 Experten4-12 Experten
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Diary Entries, Longitudinal Patterns, Experience TimelineThree-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesEstimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes
Tagsno overlap
UX researchTrackingBehavior
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
EstimationExpertsForecasting
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