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Criterion
Paper illustration for Diary Study.
UX Research
Diary Study
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of Hypothesis Prioritization Canvas with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Hypothesis Prioritization Canvas
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Purposedifferent
When experiences build up over days or weeks and a single session cannot capture them, Diary Study records the course of everyday life. Recurring triggers, moods, and habits become visible this way, beyond the sharpness of memory.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.When many hypotheses compete for attention, it brings order to their learning sequence and importance. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritization canvas and a hypothesis backlog.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighMediumLow
Timedifferent
1-4 Wochen1-4 Wochen60-90 min45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
5-206-30 Experten3-82-8
Formatdifferent
AsyncAsyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Diary Entries, Longitudinal Patterns, Experience TimelineExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesPrioritization Canvas, Hypothesis BacklogAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan
Tagsno overlap
UX researchTrackingBehavior
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
ExperimentsPrioritizationDiscoveryHypothesis
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
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