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Criterion
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Independent contributions form an ordered group priority list.
Facilitation
Nominal Group Technique
Paper illustration of Cost of Delay with its method-specific working model.
Delivery
Cost of Delay
Purposedifferent
When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.When loud voices could dominate a round, Nominal Group Technique protects individual thinking time from group effects. It collects ideas separately first and only then enables shared weighting.Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence.
Complexitydifferent
HighHighMediumHigh
Timedifferent
1-4 Wochen1-4 h or multiple rounds60-120 min90-180 min
Participantsdifferent
6-30 Experten4-12 Experten5-123-8
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesEstimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus NotesRanked Ideas, Clarified Options, Group PriorityCoD Table, Prioritization Sequence
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
EstimationExpertsForecasting
FacilitationPrioritizationVotingInclusion
PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision
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