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Criterion
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Paper illustration of a branching impact map with a Why goal at the root, actor circles, How behavior changes and What options.
Product Strategy
Impact Mapping
Gap Analysis method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
GAP Analysis
Purposedifferent
When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.When a goal needs to be connected to several possible paths, it shows chains of impact instead of feature lists. It connects business goal, behavior change, and measures.GAP Analysis compares the current state with a target picture and makes the distance manageable. It becomes useful when, ahead of new initiatives, it must become clear which capabilities, processes, or resources are missing.
Complexitydifferent
HighHighMediumMedium
Timedifferent
1-4 Wochen1-4 h or multiple rounds45-90 min1-3 h
Participantsdifferent
6-30 Experten4-12 Experten3-82-8
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesEstimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus NotesImpact Map, Outcome Hypotheses, Delivery OptionsGap Matrix, Action Plan, Risk Notes
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
EstimationExpertsForecasting
OutcomesStrategyBehaviorPlanning
StrategyAnalysisPlanning
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