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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Product Discovery Experiment Canvas |  Product Discovery Hypothesis Prioritization Canvas |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | When experiments become unreadable after the fact, it arranges hypothesis, signal, and learning goal on a single canvas. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Completed Experiment Canvas and a Success Metric. | When many hypotheses compete for attention, it brings order to their learning sequence and importance. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritization canvas and a hypothesis backlog. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 30-60 min | 60-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 4-12 Experten | 1-5 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Completed Experiment Canvas, Success Metric | Prioritization Canvas, Hypothesis Backlog |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | EstimationExpertsForecasting | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis | ExperimentsPrioritizationDiscoveryHypothesis |