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Criterion
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Paper illustration of a Concept Map with concepts and labelled links
Knowledge Modeling
Concept Mapping
Paper illustration for Argument Mapping
Decision Making
Argument Mapping
Purposedifferent
When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.Concept Mapping arranges terms and relationships in a network that makes subject-matter connections tangible. It fits when a topic needs to be understood structurally rather than linearly.When statements, evidence, and counterarguments get mixed up, a debate quickly loses its structure. Argument Mapping breaks a thesis down into its reasoning and makes visible what it really rests on.
Complexitydifferent
HighHighMediumMedium
Timedifferent
1-4 Wochen1-4 h or multiple rounds1-2 h1-3 h
Participantsdifferent
6-30 Experten4-12 Experten1-81-8
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesEstimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus NotesConcept Map, Relationship Labels, Knowledge GapsArgument Map, Evidence Gaps, Decision Rationale
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
EstimationExpertsForecasting
KnowledgeConceptsMappingSensemaking
SensemakingDecisionRationale
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