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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Systems Thinking Wardley Mapping |  Decision Making OODA Loop |  Systems Thinking Leverage Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Wardley Mapping makes visible where an offering stands today and where it can evolve. The method connects user need, value chain, and evolution stages into a strategic basis for platform, build, or buy decisions. | In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia. | Leverage Points show exactly where interventions in a system produce a disproportionate effect. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a leverage map and action strategy. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 1-3 h | 15-60 min je Zyklus | Half day |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 2-10 | 1-8 | 3-12 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Wardley Map, Strategic Options, Evolution Notes | Situation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action Updates | Leverage Map, Action Strategy |
Tags1 shared | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | StrategySystems thinkingDynamics | DecisionChangeLearningStrategy | Systems thinkingChangeStrategy |