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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Systems Thinking Wardley Mapping |  Product Strategy DIBB |  Systems Thinking Behavior Over Time Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Wardley Mapping makes visible where an offering stands today and where it can evolve. The method connects user need, value chain, and evolution stages into a strategic basis for platform, build, or buy decisions. | DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report. | A Behavior Over Time Graph shows how a metric or observation develops over time. The method makes trends, breaks, and recurring patterns visible that get lost in snapshots. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 1-3 h | 1-2 h | 20-45 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 2-10 | 2-8 | 1-10 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Wardley Map, Strategic Options, Evolution Notes | DIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report | Behavior Over Time Graph, Trend Hypotheses, Key Events |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | StrategySystems thinkingDynamics | StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis | Systems thinkingPatternsDynamics |