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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Business Strategy Value Chain Analysis |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Business Strategy Business Model Stress Test |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Value Chain Analysis shows where value is created, costs accrue, and differentiation becomes possible along the process. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a value-chain map and lever list. | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | A Business Model Stress Test checks how well a business model holds up under pressure and headwinds. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a stress-test report and action plan per scenario. |
Complexitysame | High | High | High | High |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | Half day | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | Half day |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 3-8 | 4-12 Experten | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Value Chain Map, Lever List | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Stress Test Report, Action Plan per Scenario |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | StrategyBusiness modelDiagnosisAnalysis | EstimationExpertsForecasting | StrategyBusiness modelRiskDiagnosis |