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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Facilitation Power Interest Grid |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | When many stakeholders compete for attention at once, the Power Interest Grid sorts them by influence and stake. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as a Power Interest Grid and a stakeholder-specific strategy. | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Low | High |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 10-30 min je Item | 30-60 min | 0.5-2 Tage |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 1-8 | 2-8 | 4-12 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Power Interest Grid, Strategy per Stakeholder | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | StakeholdersFacilitationAlignmentPlanning | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning |