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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Product Discovery Test Card |  Product Discovery Learning Card |  Product Discovery Hypothesis Prioritization Canvas |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | The Test Card turns a critical assumption into a testable claim and specifies in advance which result counts as success. | The Learning Card connects traceable test results to a reasoned next action while keeping the limits of the insight visible. | When many hypotheses compete for attention, it brings order to their learning sequence and importance. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritization canvas and a hypothesis backlog. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 20-35 min | 25-40 min | 60-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 1-5 | 1-5 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Test Card with a pre-set threshold | Learning Card with evidence and next action | Prioritization Canvas, Hypothesis Backlog |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryLearning | ExperimentsPrioritizationDiscoveryHypothesis |