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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Systems Thinking System Dynamics Simulation |  Business Strategy TOWS Matrix |  Systems Thinking Behavior Over Time Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | System Dynamics Simulation makes assumptions about time, delay, and feedback testable through experiments. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a simulation model and scenario reports. | The TOWS Matrix connects internal strengths and weaknesses with external opportunities and threats into action-oriented strategies. It goes a step further than a pure stocktaking. | A Behavior Over Time Graph shows how a metric or observation develops over time. The method makes trends, breaks, and recurring patterns visible that get lost in snapshots. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | Mehrere Tage bis Wochen | 1-2 h | 20-45 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 1-5 Modellierende, Stakeholder asynchron | 3-10 | 1-10 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Simulation Model, Scenario Reports | TOWS Matrix, Strategic Options, Priority Actions | Behavior Over Time Graph, Trend Hypotheses, Key Events |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | Systems thinkingDynamicsSimulationAnalysis | StrategyAnalysisOptions | Systems thinkingPatternsDynamics |