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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Systems Thinking System Dynamics Simulation |  Business Strategy GAP Analysis |  Systems Thinking Behavior Over Time Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | System Dynamics Simulation makes assumptions about time, delay, and feedback testable through experiments. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a simulation model and scenario reports. | GAP Analysis compares the current state with a target picture and makes the distance manageable. It becomes useful when, ahead of new initiatives, it must become clear which capabilities, processes, or resources are missing. | A Behavior Over Time Graph shows how a metric or observation develops over time. The method makes trends, breaks, and recurring patterns visible that get lost in snapshots. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | Mehrere Tage bis Wochen | 1-3 h | 20-45 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 1-5 Modellierende, Stakeholder asynchron | 2-8 | 1-10 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Simulation Model, Scenario Reports | Gap Matrix, Action Plan, Risk Notes | Behavior Over Time Graph, Trend Hypotheses, Key Events |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | Systems thinkingDynamicsSimulationAnalysis | StrategyAnalysisPlanning | Systems thinkingPatternsDynamics |