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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Systems Thinking System Dynamics Simulation |  Product Strategy DIBB |  Systems Thinking Behavior Over Time Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | System Dynamics Simulation makes assumptions about time, delay, and feedback testable through experiments. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a simulation model and scenario reports. | DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report. | A Behavior Over Time Graph shows how a metric or observation develops over time. The method makes trends, breaks, and recurring patterns visible that get lost in snapshots. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | Mehrere Tage bis Wochen | 1-2 h | 20-45 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 1-5 Modellierende, Stakeholder asynchron | 2-8 | 1-10 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Simulation Model, Scenario Reports | DIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report | Behavior Over Time Graph, Trend Hypotheses, Key Events |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | Systems thinkingDynamicsSimulationAnalysis | StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis | Systems thinkingPatternsDynamics |