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Criterion
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
The Scrum Team inspects people, interactions, processes, tools, and the Definition of Done, then agrees on a few testable improvements.
Agile
Sprint Retrospective
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for OODA Loop.
Decision Making
OODA Loop
Purposedifferent
When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.When a sprint is over and friction shouldn't simply be carried forward, it opens the view onto collaboration and patterns. It creates space to see causes and changes together.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia.
Complexitydifferent
HighLowLowMedium
Timedifferent
1-4 WochenUp to 3 hours for a one-month Sprint; shorter Sprints are usually shorter45-90 min15-60 min je Zyklus
Participantsdifferent
6-30 ExpertenScrum Team2-81-8
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesImprovement actions, Team agreementsAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanSituation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action Updates
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
RetrospectiveImprovementLearning
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
DecisionChangeLearningStrategy
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