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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Product Discovery Smoke Test |  Facilitation Stakeholder Mapping |  Growth A/B Testing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all. | When an initiative depends on many people, interests, and power dynamics, Stakeholder Mapping systematically orders the environment. It shows who influences, who is affected, and where relationship management or safeguarding matters first. | When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | Low | High |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 1-5 Tage | 60–90 min | 1-4 Wochen |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | Nutzertraffic | 2-8 | 1-6 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Async | Workshop + async | Async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Interest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning Note | Stakeholder Map, Engagement Plan, Risk Notes | Experiment results, Decision log, Learning summary |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth | StakeholdersAlignmentFacilitationChange | ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation |