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Criterion
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Paper illustration of ICE Scoring with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
ICE Scoring
Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test
Purposedifferent
When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all.When ideas need sorting quickly, it condenses impact, confidence, and effort into one compact score. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as an ICE table and top-ideas list.When demand is still unclear, it measures interest in a feature before it is built. It separates real behavior from polite agreement and deliberately keeps build effort small.
Complexitydifferent
HighLowLowMedium
Timedifferent
1-4 Wochen1-5 Tage30-60 min1-5 Tage
Participantsdifferent
6-30 ExpertenNutzertraffic2-8Nutzertraffic
Formatdifferent
AsyncAsyncWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesInterest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning NoteICE Table, Top Idea ListClick Data, Interest Signal, Learning Decision
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth
PrioritizationScoringGrowthDecision
ValidationExperimentsDemandDiscovery
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