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Criterion
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Paper illustration of Decision Rights Mapping with its method-specific working model.
Decision Making
Decision Rights Mapping
Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test
Purposedifferent
When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all.In organizations with many stakeholders, it often blurs who actually decides and who is merely consulted. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Decision Rights matrix and an agreement.When demand is still unclear, it measures interest in a feature before it is built. It separates real behavior from polite agreement and deliberately keeps build effort small.
Complexitydifferent
HighLowMediumMedium
Timedifferent
1-4 Wochen1-5 Tage90-180 min1-5 Tage
Participantsdifferent
6-30 ExpertenNutzertraffic4-12Nutzertraffic
Formatdifferent
AsyncAsyncWorkshopAsync
Outputdifferent
Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesInterest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning NoteDecision Rights Matrix, AgreementClick Data, Interest Signal, Learning Decision
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth
DecisionGovernanceAlignmentResponsibility
ValidationExperimentsDemandDiscovery
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