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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Decision Making OODA Loop |  Business Strategy GAP Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia. | GAP Analysis compares the current state with a target picture and makes the distance manageable. It becomes useful when, ahead of new initiatives, it must become clear which capabilities, processes, or resources are missing. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 0.5-2 Tage | 15-60 min je Zyklus | 1-3 h |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 4-12 | 1-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Situation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action Updates | Gap Matrix, Action Plan, Risk Notes |
Tags1 shared | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | DecisionChangeLearningStrategy | StrategyAnalysisPlanning |