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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Decision Making Cynefin Workshop |  Product Strategy DIBB |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | When problems are unclear, chaotic, or only seemingly familiar, standard recipes fall short. A Cynefin Workshop sorts situations by the nature of their problem and connects them with matching action logic. | DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 0.5-2 Tage | 60-180 min | 1-2 h |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 4-12 | 4-20 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Cynefin Map, Domain-specific Actions, Sensemaking Notes | DIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | ComplexitySensemakingDecision | StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis |