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Criterion
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for Root Cause Analysis.
Operations
Root Cause Analysis
Paper illustration of Barrier Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
Barrier Analysis
Paper illustration of MORT Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
MORT Analysis
Purposedifferent
When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.When a problem keeps recurring and the cause stays unclear, the method exposes the underlying mechanism. It separates symptom, guess, and robust explanation from one another.For a risk that can only be managed through multiple layers of protection, the method examines the effectiveness of each barrier. It shows where safeguards are missing, too weak, or fail under real conditions.For a safety-relevant event or a system with high protection requirements, the method examines where controls failed. It exposes both technical and organizational gaps.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumMediumHigh
Timedifferent
1-4 Wochen1-4 h2-4 hMehrere Tage bis Wochen
Participantsdifferent
6-30 Experten3-82-62-6
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesProblem Statement, Cause Hypotheses, Confirmed Causes, Action PlanBarrier Inventory, Failure Analysis per Barrier, Action BacklogMORT Worksheets, Findings per Branch, Corrective Actions, Systemic Recommendations
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
Root causeProblem solvingQualityIncident
Root causeSafetyIncident
Root causeSafetySystemicIncident
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