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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Product Discovery Riskiest Assumption Test |  Product Discovery Test Card |  Product Strategy DIBB |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report. | The Test Card turns a critical assumption into a testable claim and specifies in advance which result counts as success. | DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 1-2 Wochen pro Iteration | 20-35 min | 1-2 h |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 2-6 | 1-5 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Prioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results Report | Test Card with a pre-set threshold | DIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis | StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis |