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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Decision Making Red Teaming |  Product Strategy DIBB |  Decision Making Argument Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | For strategic decisions with high reach, agreement and gut feeling are often not enough. Red teaming brings deliberate opposition into the situation and tests where a plan breaks under real counterarguments. | DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report. | When statements, evidence, and counterarguments get mixed up, a debate quickly loses its structure. Argument Mapping breaks a thesis down into its reasoning and makes visible what it really rests on. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 1-4 h | 1-2 h | 1-3 h |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 3-8 | 2-8 | 1-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Challenge Findings, Risk Register, Mitigation Plan | DIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report | Argument Map, Evidence Gaps, Decision Rationale |
Tags1 shared | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | RiskDecisionSensemaking | StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis | SensemakingDecisionRationale |