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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Product Strategy Product Vision Board |  Growth A/B Testing |  Product Discovery Smoke Test |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When a product needs a shared direction, it connects target audience, benefit, and business picture in a clear vision. It makes the envisioned future legible for the team. | When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects. | When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 1-2 h | 1-4 Wochen | 1-5 Tage |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 | 1-6 | Nutzertraffic |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Async | Async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Product Vision Board, Vision Statement, Assumptions and Validation Questions | Experiment results, Decision log, Learning summary | Interest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning Note |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | VisionCanvasStrategyAlignment | ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation | ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth |