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Criterion
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of Product Kata with its method-specific working model.
Product Discovery
Product Kata
Paper illustration for OODA Loop.
Decision Making
OODA Loop
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Purposedifferent
When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.Product Kata helps clarify customer problems, solution ideas, and evidence through a repeatable improvement routine. It captures direction, current metric, target metric, experiment notes, and learning.In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
1-4 Wochen1-2 Wochen je Loop15-60 min je Zyklus45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
6-30 Experten3-101-82-8
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesDirection, Current metric, Target metric, Experiment note, Learning reportSituation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action UpdatesAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
OutcomesDiscoveryLearningIterationCoaching
DecisionChangeLearningStrategy
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
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