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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Decision Making Pre-Mortem |  Operations Weekly Review |  Operations ALPEN Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures. | In a week with many open loops, the method creates distance from operational noise. It organizes commitments, calendar, and projects so the next week becomes workable. | With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 20–45 min | 30-60 min | 10-20 min daily |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | Small cross-functional group | 1 | 1 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop | Async | Async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log | Updated Task System, Weekly Focus, Next Actions | Daily Plan, Time Estimates, Review Notes |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | RiskDecisionFailurePlanning | ProductivityExecutionPlanning | PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations |