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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Decision Making Pre-Mortem |  Decision Making Risk Matrix |  Decision Making Constraint Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures. | When a project faces many possible disruptions, it quickly becomes unclear which risks deserve attention first. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Risk Matrix and a Top Risk List. | When an initiative stalls, the limit often lies not in the idea but in hard or soft boundary conditions. Constraint Analysis separates these limits and shows which of them can actually be shaped. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 20–45 min | 30-60 min | 30-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | Small cross-functional group | 3-10 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log | Risk Matrix, Top Risk List | Constraint List, Hard/Soft Classification, Option Impact Notes, Decision Boundaries |
Tags1 shared | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | RiskDecisionFailurePlanning | RiskDecisionPrioritizationAssessment | ConstraintsDecisionPlanningOptions |