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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Agile Planning Poker |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |  Product Strategy DIBB |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When estimates within the team diverge too much, it puts differing expectations on a common test bench. It separates rough complexity from unspoken assumptions. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. | DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 2-5 min je Item | 45-60 min | 1-2 h |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 3-9 | 2-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Relative Estimates, Assumption Notes, Split Candidates | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking | DIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | EstimationAgileRelative sizingTeam | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation | StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis |