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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Decision Making Option Framing |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Decision Making Decision Tree |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | In early decisions, alternatives are often still vague, incomplete, or blended together. Option Framing brings every possibility into a comparable form and makes visible which variant actually fits the question. | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | For decisions with follow-on paths and dependencies, a linear comparison is often not enough. A Decision Tree shows how options branch under conditions and which consequences hang on each branch. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 45-120 min | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 30-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 3-8 | 4-12 Experten | 1-6 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Option Frames, Assumption Notes, Comparable Shortlist, Decision Inputs | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Decision Tree, Option Map, Assumption List |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | OptionsDecision framingStrategyComparison | EstimationExpertsForecasting | DecisionTreeOptions |