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Criterion
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for Option Framing.
Decision Making
Option Framing
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of MVP Test Matrix with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
MVP Test Matrix
Purposedifferent
When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.In early decisions, alternatives are often still vague, incomplete, or blended together. Option Framing brings every possibility into a comparable form and makes visible which variant actually fits the question.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.When several minimal variants compete to answer the same question, it makes comparing and choosing between them cleaner. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Test Matrix and a Test Plan.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumMediumMedium
Timedifferent
1-4 Wochen45-120 min45-60 min45-75 min
Participantsdifferent
6-30 Experten3-82-82-8
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesOption Frames, Assumption Notes, Comparable Shortlist, Decision InputsAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingTest Matrix, Test Plan
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
OptionsDecision framingStrategyComparison
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryOptions
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