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Criterion
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for OODA Loop.
Decision Making
OODA Loop
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Paper illustration of Leverage Points with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Leverage Points
Purposedifferent
When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia.A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.Leverage Points show exactly where interventions in a system produce a disproportionate effect. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a leverage map and action strategy.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumHighHigh
Timedifferent
1-4 Wochen15-60 min je Zyklus1-4 h or multiple roundsHalf day
Participantsdifferent
6-30 Experten1-84-12 Experten3-12
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesSituation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action UpdatesEstimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus NotesLeverage Map, Action Strategy
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
DecisionChangeLearningStrategy
EstimationExpertsForecasting
Systems thinkingChangeStrategy
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