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Criterion
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for OODA Loop.
Decision Making
OODA Loop
Paper illustration for Future Reality Tree.
Systems Thinking
Future Reality Tree
Paper illustration of Leverage Points with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Leverage Points
Purposedifferent
When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia.A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation.Leverage Points show exactly where interventions in a system produce a disproportionate effect. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a leverage map and action strategy.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumHighHigh
Timedifferent
1-4 Wochen15-60 min je Zyklus2-4 hHalf day
Participantsdifferent
6-30 Experten1-83-83-12
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesSituation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action UpdatesFuture Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved InjectionsLeverage Map, Action Strategy
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
DecisionChangeLearningStrategy
Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange
Systems thinkingChangeStrategy
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