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Criterion
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for OODA Loop.
Decision Making
OODA Loop
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
Paper illustration of the Force Field Analysis working structure.
Decision Making
Force Field Analysis
Purposedifferent
When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia.The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict.In change initiatives, supporting and restraining forces sit at the table at the same time. Force Field Analysis makes these tensions explicit and shows where change can be pushed forward by strengthening or relieving.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
1-4 Wochen15-60 min je Zyklus60-120 min45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
6-30 Experten1-82-83-12
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesSituation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action UpdatesConflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next ExperimentsForce Field Map, Change Levers, Risk Notes
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
DecisionChangeLearningStrategy
Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking
ChangeDecisionStrategy
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