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Criterion
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for OODA Loop.
Decision Making
OODA Loop
Paper illustration for Cynefin Workshop.
Decision Making
Cynefin Workshop
Paper illustration for Argument Mapping
Decision Making
Argument Mapping
Purposedifferent
When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia.When problems are unclear, chaotic, or only seemingly familiar, standard recipes fall short. A Cynefin Workshop sorts situations by the nature of their problem and connects them with matching action logic.When statements, evidence, and counterarguments get mixed up, a debate quickly loses its structure. Argument Mapping breaks a thesis down into its reasoning and makes visible what it really rests on.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumMediumMedium
Timedifferent
1-4 Wochen15-60 min je Zyklus60-180 min1-3 h
Participantsdifferent
6-30 Experten1-84-201-8
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesSituation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action UpdatesCynefin Map, Domain-specific Actions, Sensemaking NotesArgument Map, Evidence Gaps, Decision Rationale
Tags1 shared
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
DecisionChangeLearningStrategy
ComplexitySensemakingDecision
SensemakingDecisionRationale
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