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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Knowledge Modeling Ontology Design Patterns |  Product Discovery Riskiest Assumption Test |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Ontology Design Patterns provide reusable building blocks for recurring modeling problems. The method brings structure to the search for clean concepts, relationships, and roles. | When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 1-3 h pro Pattern | 1-2 Wochen pro Iteration | 45-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 1-6 | 2-6 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Selected Patterns, Adapted Schema Fragments, Pattern Documentation | Prioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results Report | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | OntologyPatternsReuseSemanticModeling | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation |