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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Agile NoEstimates |  Systems Thinking Leverage Points |  Decision Making OODA Loop |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | Leverage Points show exactly where interventions in a system produce a disproportionate effect. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a leverage map and action strategy. | In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | laufend | Half day | 15-60 min je Zyklus |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 2-12 | 3-12 | 1-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Leverage Map, Action Strategy | Situation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action Updates |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | EstimationForecastingFlow | Systems thinkingChangeStrategy | DecisionChangeLearningStrategy |