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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Knowledge Modeling NeOn Methodology |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | The NeOn Methodology structures ontology work as a controlled process with reuse, scenarios, and reviews. It is useful when ontologies should not emerge ad hoc but modularly and reusably. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | Mehrere Wochen bis Monate | 45-90 min | 45-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 2-10 | 2-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Ontology Requirements Specification, Reuse Plan, Ontology Modules, Evaluation Report | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | OntologyMethodologyReuseSemanticEngineering | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation |