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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Product Discovery MVP Test Matrix |  Decision Making Force Field Analysis |  Product Discovery Experiment Canvas |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When several minimal variants compete to answer the same question, it makes comparing and choosing between them cleaner. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Test Matrix and a Test Plan. | In change initiatives, supporting and restraining forces sit at the table at the same time. Force Field Analysis makes these tensions explicit and shows where change can be pushed forward by strengthening or relieving. | When experiments become unreadable after the fact, it arranges hypothesis, signal, and learning goal on a single canvas. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Completed Experiment Canvas and a Success Metric. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 45-75 min | 45-90 min | 30-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 | 3-12 | 1-5 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Test Matrix, Test Plan | Force Field Map, Change Levers, Risk Notes | Completed Experiment Canvas, Success Metric |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryOptions | ChangeDecisionStrategy | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis |