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Criterion
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of MORT Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
MORT Analysis
Paper illustration of the Force Field Analysis working structure.
Decision Making
Force Field Analysis
Paper illustration of Barrier Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
Barrier Analysis
Purposedifferent
When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.For a safety-relevant event or a system with high protection requirements, the method examines where controls failed. It exposes both technical and organizational gaps.In change initiatives, supporting and restraining forces sit at the table at the same time. Force Field Analysis makes these tensions explicit and shows where change can be pushed forward by strengthening or relieving.For a risk that can only be managed through multiple layers of protection, the method examines the effectiveness of each barrier. It shows where safeguards are missing, too weak, or fail under real conditions.
Complexitydifferent
HighHighLowMedium
Timedifferent
1-4 WochenMehrere Tage bis Wochen45-90 min2-4 h
Participantsdifferent
6-30 Experten2-63-122-6
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesMORT Worksheets, Findings per Branch, Corrective Actions, Systemic RecommendationsForce Field Map, Change Levers, Risk NotesBarrier Inventory, Failure Analysis per Barrier, Action Backlog
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
Root causeSafetySystemicIncident
ChangeDecisionStrategy
Root causeSafetyIncident
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